Arbeitspapier

Dispersion of inflation expectations in the European Union during the global financial crisis

Inflation expectations, both their median and dispersion, are of a great importance to the effectiveness of monetary policy. The goal of this paper is to examine the impact of the global financial crisis on dispersion of inflation expectations in the European Union. Using European Commission's survey data, we find that in the early phase of the crisis the dispersion dropped rapidly but then, after Lehman Brothers' collapse, the trend reversed and these fluctuations cannot be explained by movements of inflation rates and other commonly used factors. We also observe that, in the new European Union member states, the initial drop of the dispersion was weaker whereas the subsequent rise was stronger as compared to the old member states.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Institute of Economic Research Working Papers ; No. 145/2015

Classification
Wirtschaft
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models
Classification Discontinued 2008. See C83.
Expectations; Speculations
Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
Subject
inflation expectations
survey data
global financial crisis
European Union

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Acedanski, Jan
Wlodarczyk, Julia
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Institute of Economic Research (IER)
(where)
Toruń
(when)
2015

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:45 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Acedanski, Jan
  • Wlodarczyk, Julia
  • Institute of Economic Research (IER)

Time of origin

  • 2015

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