Arbeitspapier

Unobserved Ability and the Return to Schooling

We estimate a structural dynamic programming model of schooling decisions with unobserved heterogeneity in school ability and market ability on a sample taken from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth (NLSY). Both the instantaneous utility of attending school and the wage regression function are estimated flexibly. The null hypothesis that the local returns to schooling are constant is strongly rejected in favor of a convex wage regression function composed of 8 spline segments. The local returns are very low until grade 11 (1% per year or less), increase to 3.7% in grade 12 and exceed 10% only from grade 14 to grade 16. The average return increases smoothly from 0.4% (grade 7) to 4.6% (grade 16). The convexity of the log wage regression function implies that those who obtain more schooling also experience higher average returns. We strongly reject the null hypothesis that unobserved market ability is uncorrelated with realized schooling attainments, which underlies many previous studies that have used OLS to estimate the return to schooling. The correlation between realized schooling and market ability is found to be positive and is consistent with the existence of a positive ?Ability Bias?.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 508

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Thema
return to schooling
dynamic programming
ability bias
discount rate bias
Bildungsertrag
Bildungsverhalten
Dynamische Optimierung
Nutzenfunktion
Schätzung
Humankapital
Theorie
Vereinigte Staaten

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Belzil, Christian
Hansen, Jörgen
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
(wo)
Bonn
(wann)
2002

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Belzil, Christian
  • Hansen, Jörgen
  • Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)

Entstanden

  • 2002

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