Arbeitspapier

The evolution of comparative advantage: Measurement and implications

We estimate productivities at the sector level for 72 countries and 5 decades, and examine how they evolve over time in both developed and developing countries. In both country groups, comparative advantage has become weaker: productivity grew systematically faster in sectors that were initially at greater comparative disadvantage. These changes have had a significant impact on trade volumes and patterns, and a non-negligible welfare impact. In the counterfactual scenario in which each country's comparative advantage remained the same as in the 1960s, and technology in all sectors grew at the same country-specific average rate, trade volumes would be higher, cross-country export patterns more dissimilar, and intra-industry trade lower than in the data. In this counterfactual scenario, welfare is also 1.6% higher for the median country compared to the baseline. The welfare impact varies greatly across countries, ranging from ..1.1% to +4.3% among OECD countries, and from ..4.6% to +41.9% among non-OECD countries.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Working Paper ; No. 2014-12

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Neoclassical Models of Trade
Economic Growth of Open Economies
Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes
Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
Thema
technological change
sectoral TFP
Ricardian models of trade
welfare

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Levchenko, Andrei A.
Zhang, Jing
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
(wo)
Chicago, IL
(wann)
2014

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:45 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Levchenko, Andrei A.
  • Zhang, Jing
  • Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

Entstanden

  • 2014

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