Artikel

Delinquency and default in usa student debt as a proportional response to unemployment and average debt per borrower

We research the response of the proportion of student borrowers with ninety or more days of delinquency or in default to variables such as unemployment and the average debt per borrower after the financial crisis of 2007-2008, in the United States, using panel data of 50 states from 2008 to 2015. The proportion of borrowers with delinquency or default was modelled as a function of unemployment, the average debt per borrower, consumer sentiment, and financial stress, using a logit and probit binomial model. The specification tests support that no relevant variable was omitted. Unemployment and the average debt per borrower are statistically significant and contribute to increasing delinquency or default in the 50 states of the panel sample. The results also reveal a differential impact of unemployment among the four regions considered by the US Census Bureau.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Journal: Economies ; ISSN: 2227-7099 ; Volume: 7 ; Year: 2019 ; Issue: 4 ; Pages: 1-16 ; Basel: MDPI

Classification
Wirtschaft
Higher Education; Research Institutions
Banks; Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models
Subject
average debt per borrower
consumer sentiment
financial stress
fractional probit
panel data
student loan default
unemployment

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Fuinhas, José Alberto
Moutinho, Victor Ferreira
Silva, Estefano
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
MDPI
(where)
Basel
(when)
2019

DOI
doi:10.3390/economies7040100
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Artikel

Associated

  • Fuinhas, José Alberto
  • Moutinho, Victor Ferreira
  • Silva, Estefano
  • MDPI

Time of origin

  • 2019

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