Arbeitspapier

Estimating the effects of fiscal policy in OECD countries

This paper studies the effects of fiscal policy on GDP, prices and interest rates in 5 OECD countries, using a structural Vector Autoregression approach. Its mains results can be summarized as follows; 1) The effects of fiscal policy on GDP and its components have become substantially weaker in the last 20 years; 2) The tax multipliers tend to be negative but small; 3) Once plausible values of the price elasticity of governments spending are imposed, the negative effects of government spending on prices that have been frequently estimated become positive, although usually small and not always significant; 4) Government spending shocks have significant effects on the real short interest rate, but uncertain signs; 5) Net tax shocks have very small effects on prices; 6) The US is an outlier in many dimensions; US responses to fiscal shocks are often not representative of the average OECD country included in this sample.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: ECB Working Paper ; No. 168

Classification
Wirtschaft
Fiscal Policy
Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents: General

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Perotti, Roberto
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
European Central Bank (ECB)
(where)
Frankfurt a. M.
(when)
2002

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Perotti, Roberto
  • European Central Bank (ECB)

Time of origin

  • 2002

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