Artikel

Consistency in estimation and model selection of dynamic panel data models with fixed effects

We examine the relationship between consistent parameter estimation and model selection for autoregressive panel data models with fixed effects. We find that the transformation of fixed effects proposed by Lancaster (2002) does not necessarily lead to consistent estimation of common parameters when some true exogenous regressors are excluded. We propose a data dependent way to specify the prior of the autoregressive coefficient and argue for comparing different model specifications before parameter estimation. Model selection properties of Bayes factors and Bayesian information criterion (BIC) are investigated. When model uncertainty is substantial, we recommend the use of Bayesian Model Averaging to obtain point estimators with lower root mean squared errors (RMSE). We also study the implications of different levels of inclusion probabilities by simulations.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Journal: Econometrics ; ISSN: 2225-1146 ; Volume: 3 ; Year: 2015 ; Issue: 3 ; Pages: 494-524 ; Basel: MDPI

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
Bayesian Analysis: General
Estimation: General
Statistical Simulation Methods: General
Thema
dynamic panel data model with fixed effects
incidental parameter problem
consistency in estimation
model selection
bayesian model averaging

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Li, Guangjie
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
MDPI
(wo)
Basel
(wann)
2015

DOI
doi:10.3390/econometrics3030494
Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Artikel

Beteiligte

  • Li, Guangjie
  • MDPI

Entstanden

  • 2015

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