Artikel

What role does the housing market play for the macroeconomic transmission mechanism?

The main objective is to answer the question: What role does the housing market play for the transmission mechanism and (in particular) is the impact constant over time? The research question also includes analyzing the importance of the housing market for the transmission mechanism. We estimate an eight-variable structural vector autoregression (SVAR) model of the Swedish economy over the period 1993 and 2018 using quarterly data, covering both the internet bubble in 2000 and the financial crises in 2008. The results indicate that interest rates have both a direct effect on housing prices and an indirect impact through the bank lending channel. Over time, the traditional interest rate channel importance has been stable. On the other hand, the role of the bank lending channel has increased over time. Household debt has increased substantially in Sweden and elsewhere. That means that the interest rate sensitivity in society has increased. Based on the results, it is possible to evaluate and forecast potential house price effects (both direct and indirect) when the interest rate changes.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Journal: Journal of Risk and Financial Management ; ISSN: 1911-8074 ; Volume: 13 ; Year: 2020 ; Issue: 6 ; Pages: 1-17 ; Basel: MDPI

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Thema
monetary policy
transmission mechanism
bank lending
house prices
structured VAR
Granger causality

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Wilhelmsson, Mats
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
MDPI
(wo)
Basel
(wann)
2020

DOI
doi:10.3390/jrfm13060112
Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Artikel

Beteiligte

  • Wilhelmsson, Mats
  • MDPI

Entstanden

  • 2020

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