Arbeitspapier

Common trends and common cycles among interest rates of the G7-countries

In this paper we re-investigate the comovements of interest rates in the G7-countries. We propose a structured modus operandi to analyze the time series characteristics of interest rates and to test for common features. We conduct cointegration, serial correlation common feature and codependence tests with nominal and real interest rates using quarterly data from 1975 to 2007. Overall we only find little evidence of comovements. Common trends are occasionally observed, but the majority of interest rates are not cointegrated. Although some evidence for codependence of higher order is found among European countries, common cycles appear to exist only in rare cases and cannot be generalized for all interest rates.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Working Paper ; No. 77

Classification
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
Subject
interest rates
comovement
cointegration
serial correlation common feature
code-pendence

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Lindenberg, Nannette
Westermann, Frank
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Osnabrück University, Institute of Empirical Economic Research
(where)
Osnabrück
(when)
2009

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Lindenberg, Nannette
  • Westermann, Frank
  • Osnabrück University, Institute of Empirical Economic Research

Time of origin

  • 2009

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