Arbeitspapier

Common and spatial drivers in regional business cycles

We examine real business cycle convergence for 41 euro area regions and 48 US states. Results obtained by a panel model with spatial correlation indicate that the relevance of common business cycle factors is rather stable over the past two decades in the euro area and the US. Ongoing business cycle convergence often detected in a country data is not confirmed at the regional level. The degree of synchronization across the euro area is similar to that to be found for the US states. Thus, the lack of convergence does not seem to be an impediment to a common monetary policy.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: DIW Discussion Papers ; No. 859

Classification
Wirtschaft
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Model Construction and Estimation
Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
Subject
Business cycle convergence
spatial correlation
spatial panel model
Regionaler Konjunkturzyklus
Entwicklungskonvergenz
Korrelation
Panel
Schätzung
EU-Staaten
USA

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Artis, Michael J.
Dreger, Christian
Kholodilin, Konstantin Arkadievich
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW)
(where)
Berlin
(when)
2009

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Artis, Michael J.
  • Dreger, Christian
  • Kholodilin, Konstantin Arkadievich
  • Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW)

Time of origin

  • 2009

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