Arbeitspapier

Optimal discretionary policy and uncertainty about inflation persistence

This paper studies optimal discretionary policy with parameter uncertainty about inflation inertia. Optimal policy rules and impulse responses are presented within a hybrid New-Keynesian model estimated for the euro area by Smets (2003). We find that it may be optimal for policy to respond more aggressively to cost-push shocks and real interest rate shocks in the presence of uncertainty about inflation inertia, depending on the form of the central bank’s objective function. Moreover, in the cases where optimal policy is not certainty equivalent, we find that inflation returns slightly more gradually to equilibrium following a shock when the degree of inflation inertia is uncertain.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: ECB Working Paper ; No. 540

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Monetary Policy
Central Banks and Their Policies
Thema
Inflation persistence
monetary policy
uncertainty
Inflation
Geldpolitik
Risiko
Theorie

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Moessner, Richhild
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
European Central Bank (ECB)
(wo)
Frankfurt a. M.
(wann)
2005

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Moessner, Richhild
  • European Central Bank (ECB)

Entstanden

  • 2005

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