Arbeitspapier

A two-step indirect inference approach to estimate the long-run risk asset pricing model

The long-run consumption risk model provides a theoretically appealing explanation for prominent asset pricing puzzles, but its intricate structure presents a challenge for econometric analysis. This paper proposes a two-step indirect inference approach that disentangles the estimation of the model's macroeconomic dynamics and the investor's preference parameters. A Monte Carlo study explores the feasibility and efficiency of the estimation strategy. We apply the method to recent U.S. data and provide a critical re-assessment of the long-run risk model's ability to reconcile the real economy and financial markets. This two-step indirect inference approach is potentially useful for the econometric analysis of other prominent consumption-based asset pricing models that are equally difficult to estimate.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CFR Working Paper ; No. 17-01

Classification
Wirtschaft
Financial Econometrics
General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data)
Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
Subject
indirect inference estimation
asset pricing
longrun risk

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Grammig, Joachim
Küchlin, Eva-Maria
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR)
(where)
Cologne
(when)
2017

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:45 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Grammig, Joachim
  • Küchlin, Eva-Maria
  • University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR)

Time of origin

  • 2017

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