Arbeitspapier

How does EMU affect the dollar and the yen as international reserve and investment currencies?

Since EMU represents a currency area with a GDP level and a world market share comparable to the United States, it is widely expected that the euro will become an important international currency. This paper suggests simple methods how to quantify the effects that EMU may exert on the roles of the dollar and the yen as the other major international currencies. Estimates presented indicate that the euro may indeed lead to a significant decline in the market share of the dollar as an official reserve currency of central banks and as an investment currency of private portfolios. These effects hinge on the assumption that the euro will achieve a reputation similar to that of the deutschmark before EMU. The projected shifts can be expected to materialize only in the medium term so that no immediate abrupt changes in the demand for dollars will occur.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Research Notes ; No. 99-5

Classification
Wirtschaft
International Economic Order and Integration
International Investment; Long-term Capital Movements
Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
Subject
International Economic Integration
Long-Term Capital Movements
Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
Europäische Wirtschafts- und Währungsunion
Euro
US-Dollar
Yen
Reservewährung
Portfolio-Investition
Devisenmarkt
Schätzung
Welt

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Frenkel, Michael
Søndergaard, Jens
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Deutsche Bank Research
(where)
Frankfurt a. M.
(when)
1999

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Frenkel, Michael
  • Søndergaard, Jens
  • Deutsche Bank Research

Time of origin

  • 1999

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