Arbeitspapier

Market-based renewables: How flexible hydrogen electrolyzers stabilize wind and solar market values

Wind and solar energy are often expected to fall victim to their own success: the higher their share in electricity production, the more their revenue on electricity markets (their “market value”) declines. While in conventional power systems, the market value may converge to zero, this study demonstrates that “green” hydrogen production, through adding electricity demand in low-price hours, can effectively and permanently halt the decline. With an analytical derivation, a Monte Carlo simulation, and a numerical electricity market model, I find that – due to flexible hydrogen production – market values in 2050 likely converge above €19 ± 9 per MWh for solar energy and above €27 ± 8 per MWh for wind energy. This is in the range of the projected levelized costs of renewables and has profound implications. Market-based renewables may hence be within reach.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation

Classification
Wirtschaft
Energy: General
Energy: Demand and Supply; Prices
Alternative Energy Sources
Subject
Renewable energy
Hydrogen electrolysis
Electricity market
Electricity economics
Integrated energy system
Flexible electricity demand

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Ruhnau, Oliver
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics
(where)
Kiel, Hamburg
(when)
2020

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Ruhnau, Oliver
  • ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics

Time of origin

  • 2020

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