Arbeitspapier

Cash Flow Duration and the Term Structure of Equity Returns

The term structure of equity returns is downward-sloping: stocks with high cash flow duration earn 1.10% per month lower returns than short-duration stocks in the cross section. I create a measure of cash flow duration at the firm level using balance sheet data to show this novel fact. Factor models can explain only 50% of the return differential, and the difference in returns is three times larger after periods of high investor sentiment. I use institutional ownership as a proxy for short-sale constraints, and find the negative cross-sectional relationship between cash flow duration and returns is only contained within short-sale constrained stocks.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 6043

Classification
Wirtschaft
Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
Subject
dividend strips
short-sale constraints
anomalies
sentiment

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Weber, Michael
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2016

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Weber, Michael
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2016

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