Arbeitspapier

Life insurance convexity

Life insurers sell savings contracts with surrender options, allowing policyholders to prematurely withdraw guaranteed surrender values. Surrender options move toward the money when interest rates rise. Hence, higher interest rates raise surrender rates, as we document for the German life insurance sector. Using a calibrated model, we estimate that surrender options would force insurers to sell up to 2% of their investments during an enduring interest rate rise of 25 bps per annum. The resulting price impact depends on insurers' investment behavior. Forced asset sales are amplified by insurers' long-term investments but mitigated by reducing the guarantees on surrender values.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: ECONtribute Discussion Paper ; No. 154

Classification
Wirtschaft
Insurance; Insurance Companies; Actuarial Studies
Monetary Policy
Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation
Subject
Life Insurance
Liquidity Risk
Interest Rates
Fire Sales
Systemic Risk

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Kubitza, Christian
Grochola, Nicolaus
Gründl, Helmut
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Reinhard Selten Institute (RSI)
(where)
Bonn and Cologne
(when)
2022

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Kubitza, Christian
  • Grochola, Nicolaus
  • Gründl, Helmut
  • University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Reinhard Selten Institute (RSI)

Time of origin

  • 2022

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