Arbeitspapier

Global Credit Shocks and Real Economies

We estimate the marginal effects of identified components of global liquidity on 43 real economies. To this end, we employ global public and private credit components of Herwartz, Ochsner, and Rohloff (2021) in factor-augmented vector-autoregressions to trace credit shocks through the real economy (output, inflation and unemployment). Specifically, two components of global credit boost the business cycle and lower unemployment in the short-run, namely government credit demand and business credit supply, whereas household credit supply is found to deteriorate output. We find substantial heterogeneity with respect to prevalence and amplitude of global sectoral credit effects on real aggregates within the time and cross-sectional (country) dimension.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: MAGKS Joint Discussion Paper Series in Economics ; No. 16-2021

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
Thema
Credit shocks
credit composition
real economy
structural VAR
FAVAR

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Herwartz, Helmut
Ochsner, Christian
Rohloff, Hannes
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Philipps-University Marburg, School of Business and Economics
(wo)
Marburg
(wann)
2021

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Herwartz, Helmut
  • Ochsner, Christian
  • Rohloff, Hannes
  • Philipps-University Marburg, School of Business and Economics

Entstanden

  • 2021

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