Chance or Ability? The Efficiency of the Football Betting Market Revisited

Konferenzbeitrag

The extent of market efficiency induced by rational behaviour of market participants is central for economic research. Many economists have already examined sports-betting markets as a laboratory to better understand trading behaviour and efficiency of stock prices while avoiding to jointly test the hypothesis of a correct capital market model. The following paper will investigate whether the European football betting market fulfils the efficiency paradigm introduced by Fama (1970) with a unique dataset allowing for an investigation of the German betting market in view of its regulatory changes recently. The analysis contributes to the literature by conducting a variety of empirical strategy including rational expectation frameworks and an ordered choice model to stress the ex post market performance from a weak and semi-strong form perspective. In view of existing market distortions as taxes, switching costs of changing betting providers and limitation in competition, the results of the analysis are indicative of a rational market equilibrium surprisingly close to the efficiency benchmark.1

Angaben zum Objekt

• Sprache: Englisch

Verweise und Beziehungen

• Erschienen in: Series: Beiträge zur Jahrestagung des Vereins für Socialpolitik 2018: Digitale Wirtschaft - Session: Forecasting II ; No. E05-V2

Klassifikation und Themen

• Klassifikation: Wirtschaft ; Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading ; Sports; Gambling; Restaurants; Recreation; Tourism
• Thema: Gambling ; Sports Betting ; Market Efficiency

Beteiligte, Orts- und Zeitangaben

• Ereignis: Geistige Schöpfung
• (wer): Rebeggiani, Luca ; Gross, Johannes
• Ereignis: Veröffentlichung
• (wer): ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft
• (wo): Kiel, Hamburg
• (wann): 2018

Weitere Informationen

• Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/181563
• Letzte Aktualisierung: 10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ