Arbeitspapier

Managing financial market expectations: The role of central bank transparency and central bank communication

In this paper, we study the influence of central bank transparency and informal central bank communication on the money market adjustment process between two interest rate decisions. The sample covers nine major central banks for the period from January 1999 to July 2007. We find, first, that both transparency and communication facilitate understanding upcoming interest rate decisions. Second, transparency, as measured by various subcategories of the Eijffinger and Geraats (2006) index, leads to better anticipation of monetary policy. Provision of information on (unanticipated) macroeconomic disturbances and explicit prioritization of central bank objectives are the most important of these subcategories. Finally, there is no unique optimal design for central banks as (i) a very high degree of transparency, (ii) frequent communication on an informal basis, (iii) gradualism in target rate changes, or (iv) a high frequency of interest rate decisions all contribute to sound understanding regarding future interest rate decisions.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: MAGKS Joint Discussion Paper Series in Economics ; No. 28-2010

Classification
Wirtschaft
Monetary Policy
Central Banks and Their Policies
Subject
central bank communication
central bank transparency
financial market expectations
interest rate decision
monetary policy
money market
Geldpolitik
Zinspolitik
Staatliche Information
Ankündigungseffekt
Zins
Erwartungstheorie
Geldmarkt
Schätzung
Industriestaaten

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Neuenkirch, Matthias
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Philipps-University Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics
(where)
Marburg
(when)
2010

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Neuenkirch, Matthias
  • Philipps-University Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics

Time of origin

  • 2010

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