Arbeitspapier

The economywide impacts and risks of Malawi's farm input subsidy programme

We estimate the impact of Malawi's Farm Input Subsidy Programme using an economywide approach. We find potentially substantial net benefits with indirect benefits accounting for about two-fifths of total benefits. Due to these indirect benefits, the cut-off at which lower fertilizer yield response rates lead to net programme losses is much lower than the value suggested by existing partial equilibrium evaluations. Benefits decline with domestic financing and real fertilizer price increases. Abstracting from extreme events, Malawi's programme potentially generates double dividends through higher and more drought-resilient yields. Overall, our results buttress arguments for patience and a focus on programme efficiency improvements.

ISBN
978-92-9230-820-9
Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: WIDER Working Paper ; No. 2014/099

Classification
Wirtschaft
Computable General Equilibrium Models
Economic Development: Agriculture; Natural Resources; Energy; Environment; Other Primary Products
Project Analysis
Agricultural Policy; Food Policy
Subject
programme evaluation
risk assessment
economywide model
farm subsidies
Malawi

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Arndt, Channing
Pauw, Karl
Thurlow, James
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
The United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics Research (UNU-WIDER)
(where)
Helsinki
(when)
2014

DOI
doi:10.35188/UNU-WIDER/2014/820-9
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Arndt, Channing
  • Pauw, Karl
  • Thurlow, James
  • The United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics Research (UNU-WIDER)

Time of origin

  • 2014

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