Macroeconomic surprises, market environment, and safe-haven currencies

Artikel

We study the reaction of the CHF and JPY to macroeconomic surprises and changes in the broader market environment before and during the crisis using high-frequency data. Results show that the CHF and JPY are traditionally more sensitive to macroeconomic surprises than other currencies, reflecting the fact that macroeconomic surprises impact uncertainty and risk aversion. This link was further magnified during the crisis and could not be broken by the specific measures adopted by monetary authorities to limit the appreciation trend. We also find some evidence that, during the crisis, CHF and JPY responded more strongly to surprises generating an appreciation than to surprises leading to a depreciation. Additionally, both currencies also systematically respond to changes in the general market environment. This result is robust to the use of two measures of the market environment: VIX and on a novel index based on Bloomberg wires.

Object Details

• Language: Englisch

References and Relationships

• Bibliographic citation: Journal: Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics ; ISSN: 2235-6282 ; Volume: 155 ; Year: 2019 ; Issue: 5 ; Pages: 1-21 ; Heidelberg: Springer

Classification and Topics

• Classification: Wirtschaft ; Foreign Exchange ; Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates ; Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
• Subject: Safe-haven currencies ; Swiss franc ; Yen ; Macroeconomic surprises ; Risk

Contributors, Places and Time

• Event: Geistige Schöpfung
• (who): Jäggi, Adrian ; Schlegel, Martin ; Zanetti, Attilio
• Event: Veröffentlichung
• (who): Springer
• (where): Heidelberg
• (when): 2019

Further information

• DOI: doi:10.1186/s41937-019-0031-9
• Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/259729
• Last update: 10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET