Arbeitspapier

Modelando o processo de seleção dos portos para movimentação das cargas no comércio exterior Brasileiro

In this paper, we present some models to analyze the impacts of surface transportation logistic costs on importers and exporters decisions on which ports to choose for foreign trade operations. We employed a technique based on fractional split distributions, in which the dependent variable corresponds to the share of cargo across the available ports for imports and exports. The geographic observational unit used was the microrregion (Brazil is divided in more than five hundred microrregions). Parameter estimation is done by maximum quasi-likelihood, based on foreign trade data. The results confirmed conclusions from other studies in the literature: the geographic factors and internal transportation costs are very important for importers and exporters decisions. Based on the estimated models, we simulate potential impacts of different scenarios for changes in internal transportation costs on the inter port competition in Brazil.

Sprache
Portugiesisch

Erschienen in
Series: Texto para Discussão ; No. 2093

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Production, Pricing, and Market Structure; Size Distribution of Firms
Oligopoly and Other Imperfect Markets
Industrial Policy; Sectoral Planning Methods
Transportation: General
Transportation Economics: Government and Private Investment Analysis; Road Maintenance, Transportation Planning
Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity
Mathematical Methods
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions; Probabilities
Quantitative Policy Modeling
Thema
port sector
geographic markets
competitiveness indicators
discrete choice models
maximum quasi-likelihood
fractional split distributions

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
de Carvalho, Alexandre Ywata
Coutinho, Paulo C.
Oliveira, André L.
de Britto, Paulo Augusto P.
Lustosa, Paulo Roberto Barbosa
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada (IPEA)
(wo)
Brasília
(wann)
2015

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • de Carvalho, Alexandre Ywata
  • Coutinho, Paulo C.
  • Oliveira, André L.
  • de Britto, Paulo Augusto P.
  • Lustosa, Paulo Roberto Barbosa
  • Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada (IPEA)

Entstanden

  • 2015

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