Artikel

Effects of oil shocks on EMU exports: technological level differences

This article provides some new empirical perspectives on the relationship between oil-market fluctuations and technological structure of EMU export. We rely on a time-varying parameter VAR model to capture the reaction of different technological structures of EMU export to various oil-market innovations in the period 2002-2015. Our results can be summarized as follows: (1) increase in crude oil production is likely to reduce oil prices and therefore increases all EMU exports due to lower production and transportation costs; (2) increase in global demand is more likely to be transmitted to goods with higher added value; (3) high-tech exports decrease in the first months after the global demand shock as a result of a delayed investment decision process; (4) increasing oil prices yield only marginal effect on EMU export.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Journal: Review of Economic Perspectives ; ISSN: 1804-1663 ; Volume: 17 ; Year: 2017 ; Issue: 4 ; Pages: 399-423 ; Warsaw: De Gruyter

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Thema
EMU
export
technological structure
TVP-VAR

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Hodula, Martin
Vahalík, Bohdan
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
De Gruyter
(wo)
Warsaw
(wann)
2017

DOI
doi:10.1515/revecp-2017-0021
Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Artikel

Beteiligte

  • Hodula, Martin
  • Vahalík, Bohdan
  • De Gruyter

Entstanden

  • 2017

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