Arbeitspapier

Assessing Australian Monetary Policy in the Twenty-First Century

Using the Reserve Bank of Australia's MARTIN model we compare actual monetary policy decisions to a counterfactual in which the cash rate is set according to an optimal simple rule. We find that monetary policy played a crucial role in avoiding a potential recession in 2001 and mitigating the downturn in 2008-2009. By contrast we find that the cash rate was too high during 2016-2019, keeping inflation below the Reserve Bank's target band. Optimal monetary policy in 2016-2019 would have involved a substantially lower cash rate and would have produced significantly better employment outcomes.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 15561

Classification
Wirtschaft
Money and Interest Rates: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
Monetary Policy
Central Banks and Their Policies
Subject
optimal monetary policy
unemployment
output gap
inflation

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Gross, Isaac
Leigh, Andrew
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)
(where)
Bonn
(when)
2022

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Gross, Isaac
  • Leigh, Andrew
  • Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)

Time of origin

  • 2022

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