Earth-system-model evaluation of cloud and precipitation occurrence for supercooled and warm clouds over the Southern Ocean's Macquarie Island

Abstract < ∼ ∘  S, 158.9∘  E) combines a 95 GHz (W-band) Doppler cloud radar, two lidar ceilometers, and balloon-borne soundings to quantify the occurrence frequency of precipitation from the liquid-phase cloud base. Liquid-based clouds at Macquarie Island precipitate ∼ > ∘ C, regardless of the geometric thickness of the layer, and also evaporate more frequently. We further demonstrate an approach to employ these observational constraints for evaluation of a 9-year GISS-ModelE3 ESM simulation. Model output is processed through the Earth Model Column Collaboratory (EMC2) radar and lidar instrument simulator with the same instrument specifications as those deployed during MICRE, therefore accounting for instrument sensitivities and ensuring a coherent comparison. Relative to MICRE observations, the ESM produces a smaller cloud occurrence frequency, smaller precipitation occurrence frequency, and greater sub-cloud evaporation. The lower precipitation occurrence frequency by the ESM relative to MICRE contrasts with numerous studies that suggest a ubiquitous bias by ESMs to precipitate too frequently over the SO when compared with satellite-based observations, likely owing to sensitivity limitations of spaceborne instrumentation and different sampling methodologies for ground- versus space-based observations. Despite these deficiencies, the ESM reproduces the observed tendency for deeper and colder clouds to precipitate more frequently and at a higher intensity. The ESM also reproduces specific cloud regimes, including near-surface clouds that account for ∼ ∼  27 % of clouds with bases higher than 250 m. We suggest that the demonstrated framework, which merges observations with appropriately constrained model output, is a valuable approach to evaluate processes responsible for cloud radiative feedbacks in ESMs.

Location
Deutsche Nationalbibliothek Frankfurt am Main
Extent
Online-Ressource
Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Earth-system-model evaluation of cloud and precipitation occurrence for supercooled and warm clouds over the Southern Ocean's Macquarie Island ; volume:23 ; number:16 ; year:2023 ; pages:9037-9069 ; extent:33
Atmospheric chemistry and physics ; 23, Heft 16 (2023), 9037-9069 (gesamt 33)

Creator
Stanford, McKenna W.
Fridlind, Ann M.
Silber, Israel
Ackerman, Andrew S.
Cesana, Greg
Muelmenstaedt, Johannes
Protat, Alain
Alexander, Simon
McDonald, Adrian

DOI
10.5194/acp-23-9037-2023
URN
urn:nbn:de:101:1-2023082404351520182497
Rights
Open Access; Der Zugriff auf das Objekt ist unbeschränkt möglich.
Last update
14.08.2025, 10:45 AM CEST

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Associated

  • Stanford, McKenna W.
  • Fridlind, Ann M.
  • Silber, Israel
  • Ackerman, Andrew S.
  • Cesana, Greg
  • Muelmenstaedt, Johannes
  • Protat, Alain
  • Alexander, Simon
  • McDonald, Adrian

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