Arbeitspapier

Asset price shocks, real expenditures, and financial structure: a multi-country analysis

This paper examines the responses of private consumption, residential investment, and business investment in 11 EU countries, Japan, and the United States to shocks in housing and equity prices. The effects are assessed with a Structural Vector Auto Regressive (SVAR) model, and four key findings emerge. First, the impacts of asset price shocks are heterogeneous across countries. Second, these heterogeneous responses are systematically related to cross-country variation in financial structure. We are thus able to document the importance of a wealth/balance sheet channel for private consumption and residential investment and an equity finance channel for business investment. Third, for a given country, housing shocks have a much greater impact than equity shocks. Fourth, variance decompositions indicate that monetary policy reacts to equity price shocks but not to housing price shocks. These results highlight the important role played by asset prices on real activity and fuel the debate about the inclusion of asset prices in the formulation of monetary policy.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 2342

Classification
Wirtschaft
Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
Monetary Policy
Subject
Monetary policy
asset prices
structural VAR
Wohnungsmarkt
Börsenkurs
Schock
VAR-Modell
Geldpolitik
EU-Staaten
USA
Japan

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Chirinko, Robert S.
de Haan, Leo
Sterken, Elmer
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2008

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Chirinko, Robert S.
  • de Haan, Leo
  • Sterken, Elmer
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2008

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