Arbeitspapier

Maximally selected chi-square statistics and umbrella orderings

Binary outcomes that depend on an ordinal predictor in a nonmonotonic way are common in medical data analysis. Such patterns can be addressed in terms of cutpoints: for example, one looks for two cutpoints that define an interval in the range of the ordinal predictor for which the probability of a positive outcome is particularly high (or low). A chi-square test may then be performed to compare the proportions of positive outcomes in and outside this interval. However, if the two cutpoints are chosen to maximize the chi-square statistic, referring the obtained chi-square statistic to the standard chi-square distribution is an inappropriate approach. It is then necessary to correct the p-value for multiple comparisons by considering the distribution of the maximally selected chi-square statistic instead of the nominal chi-square distribution. Here, we derive the exact distribution of the chi-square statistic obtained by the optimal two cutpoints. We suggest a combinatorial computation method and illustrate our approach by a simulation study and an application to varicella data.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Discussion Paper ; No. 476

Thema
Chi-square test
classification
cutpoint
non-monotonic
changepoint
threshold

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Boulesteix, Anne-Laure
Strobl, Carolin
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München, Sonderforschungsbereich 386 - Statistische Analyse diskreter Strukturen
(wo)
München
(wann)
2006

DOI
doi:10.5282/ubm/epub.1844
Handle
URN
urn:nbn:de:bvb:19-epub-1844-2
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:41 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Boulesteix, Anne-Laure
  • Strobl, Carolin
  • Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München, Sonderforschungsbereich 386 - Statistische Analyse diskreter Strukturen

Entstanden

  • 2006

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