Arbeitspapier

Risk endogeneity at the lender/investor-of-last-resort

We address the question to what extent a central bank can de-risk its balance sheet by unconventional monetary policy operations. To this end, we propose a novel risk measurement framework to empirically study the time-variation in central bank portfolio credit risks associated with such operations. The framework accommodates a large number of bank and sovereign counterparties, joint tail dependence, skewness, and time-varying dependence parameters. In an application to selected items from the consolidated Eurosystem's weekly balance sheet between 2009 and 2015, we find that unconventional monetary policy operations generated beneficial risk spill-overs across monetary policy operations, causing overall risk to be nonlinear in exposures. Some policy operations reduced rather than increased overall risk.

ISBN
978-92-899-3487-9
Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: ECB Working Paper ; No. 2225

Classification
Wirtschaft
Banks; Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models
Subject
Credit risk
risk measurement
central bank
lender-of-last-resort
unconventional monetary policy

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Caballero, Diego
Lucas, André
Schwaab, Bernd
Zhang, Xin
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
European Central Bank (ECB)
(where)
Frankfurt a. M.
(when)
2019

DOI
doi:10.2866/40757
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Caballero, Diego
  • Lucas, André
  • Schwaab, Bernd
  • Zhang, Xin
  • European Central Bank (ECB)

Time of origin

  • 2019

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