Arbeitspapier

Risk premium, macroeconomics shocks, and information technology: An empirical analysis

This study identifies empirically the impact of various macroeconomic factors on the default risk premium. Using monthly data for the period 1970-2010 for the U.S., our estimations indicate that the monetary policy aggregates, risk-free interest rate, term structure of interest rates, inflation, and the state of the business cycle influence the risk premium. The results also provide some evidence in support of the hypothesis that the development of information technology has had a decreasing impact on the risk premium. Expectedly, various financial crises have had substantial and long-lasting effects on the premium. The results suggest that the direct impact of subprime crisis and Lehman collapse on the risk premium was as large as 2.5 percent-points for a sustainable period. Foreign financial crises, in turn, have lowered the risk premium in the U.S. market suggesting flight-to-safety phenomenon.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Discussion paper ; No. 84

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data)
Money and Interest Rates: General
Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
Thema
Financial crisis
financial accelerator
external finance premium
information technology
flight-to-safety

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Mannonen, Pekka
Oikarinen, Elias
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Aboa Centre for Economics (ACE)
(wo)
Turku
(wann)
2013

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:45 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Mannonen, Pekka
  • Oikarinen, Elias
  • Aboa Centre for Economics (ACE)

Entstanden

  • 2013

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