Arbeitspapier

The structural outcomes of investment surges

We study the extent to which countries undergo structural change during and after episodes of sustained investment surges. In particular, we explore the evolution of trade flows, considering (i) exports sophistication or complexity, (ii) exports diversification, and (iii) capital goods imports. Using the episodes identified by Libman et al. (2019), we document the heterogeneous nature of these episodes and find that, while imports of capital goods increase, they are not systematically related to changes in sophistication, complexity and diversification of exports, at least for the available sample of 130 episodes over the period 1962-2014. High investment may often be a necessary but not sufficient condition for structural change.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Working Paper ; No. 2021-09

Classification
Wirtschaft
Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
Open Economy Macroeconomics
Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
Subject
Capital accumulation
diversification
economic complexity
development

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Hoyos, Mateo
Libman, Emiliano
Razmi, Arslan
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
University of Massachusetts, Department of Economics
(where)
Amherst, MA
(when)
2021

DOI
doi:10.7275/22607583
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Hoyos, Mateo
  • Libman, Emiliano
  • Razmi, Arslan
  • University of Massachusetts, Department of Economics

Time of origin

  • 2021

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