Arbeitspapier

The employment effects of immigration: Evidence from the mass arrival of German expellees in post-war Germany

This paper studies the employment effects of the influx of millions of German expellees to West Germany after World War II. The expellees were forced to relocate to post-war Germany. They represented a complete cross-section of society, were close substitutes to the native West German population, and were very unevenly distributed across labor market segments in West Germany. We find a substantial negative effect of expellee inflows on native employment. The effect was, however, limited to labor market segments with very high inflow rates. IV regressions that exploit variation in geographical proximity and in pre-war occupations confirm the OLS results.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Kiel Working Paper ; No. 1725

Classification
Wirtschaft
Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers
Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Instrumental Variables (IV) Estimation
Subject
Forced migration
native employment
post-war Germany
Flüchtlinge
Einwanderung
Beschäftigungseffekt
Arbeitsmarktsegmentierung
Bevölkerung
Alte Bundesländer
Deutschland

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Braun, Sebastian
Omar Mahmoud, Toman
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)
(where)
Kiel
(when)
2011

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Braun, Sebastian
  • Omar Mahmoud, Toman
  • Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)

Time of origin

  • 2011

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