Arbeitspapier

Modelling GDP in CEECs Using Smooth Transitions

This paper employs smooth transition models to investigate the GDP series of ten CEECs. Allowing for a transition in both trend and intercept we examine the response of GDP to reforms in CEECs. Our results indicate that in only a small of number of countries is there evidence to suggest that the impact of the reforms on long-run growth has been positive. In most cases there has been no significant impact of the transition on the trend growth rate. There also appears to be little difference in terms of the depth of recession, speed of adjustment and the impact of reforms on GDP growth depending upon whether a country adopted a gradual or a fast approach to reforms.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: wiiw Working Paper ; No. 36

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
Comparative Studies of Countries
Thema
CEECs
GDP growth
smooth transitions
time series analysis

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Foster-McGregor, Neil
Stehrer, Robert
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies (wiiw)
(wo)
Vienna
(wann)
2005

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:41 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Foster-McGregor, Neil
  • Stehrer, Robert
  • The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies (wiiw)

Entstanden

  • 2005

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