Arbeitspapier

On the appropriateness of inappropriate VaR models

The Value-at-Risk calculation reduces the dimensionality of the risk factor space. The main reasons for such simplifications are, e.g., technical efficiency, the logic and statistical appropriateness of the model. In Chapter 2 we present three simple mappings: the mapping on the market index, the principal components model and the model with equally correlated risk factors. The comparison of these models in Chapter 3 is based on the literatere on the verification of weather forecasts (Murphy and Winkler 1992, Murphy 1997). Some considerations on the quantitative analysis are presented in the fourth chapter. In the last chapter, we present empirical analysis of the DAX data using XploRe.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: SFB 649 Discussion Paper ; No. 2006,003

Classification
Wirtschaft
Model Construction and Estimation
Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
Financial Institutions and Services: General
Subject
Value-at-Risk
market index model
principal components
random effects model
probability forecast.
Modell-Spezifikation
Theorie

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Härdle, Wolfgang Karl
Hlávka, Zdeněk
Stahl, Gerhard
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Humboldt University of Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649 - Economic Risk
(where)
Berlin
(when)
2006

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:45 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Härdle, Wolfgang Karl
  • Hlávka, Zdeněk
  • Stahl, Gerhard
  • Humboldt University of Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649 - Economic Risk

Time of origin

  • 2006

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