Arbeitspapier

Effects of demographic development, labour supply and pension reforms on the future pension burden

A much higher old-age dependency ratio together with more generous pension benefits will lead to a substantial increase in the future pension burden in Norway. The challenges of financing the increasing pension expenditures depend on the development in demographic characteristics like fertility, mortality and immigration, as well as characteristics affecting supply of labour, like education, disability, retirement age, participation rates and part time work (especially for women), and the design of the pension system. By use of a dynamic micro simulation model the paper analyses and projects how these factors will affect the expenditures and financing of the Norwegian National Insurance Scheme. The model also allows analyses of distributional effects of pension reforms.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Discussion Papers ; No. 418

Classification
Wirtschaft
National Government Expenditures and Welfare Programs
Social Security and Public Pensions
Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
Economics of the Elderly; Economics of the Handicapped; Non-labor Market Discrimination
Retirement; Retirement Policies
Subject
Social security
pension expenditures
demographic forecasts
retirement

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Fredriksen, Dennis
Stølen, Nils Martin
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Statistics Norway, Research Department
(where)
Oslo
(when)
2005

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Fredriksen, Dennis
  • Stølen, Nils Martin
  • Statistics Norway, Research Department

Time of origin

  • 2005

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