Arbeitspapier

Delayed graduation and overeducation: A test of the human capital model versus the screening hypothesis

The academic circles are devoting a growing interest to delayed graduation and overeducation, but none has analyzed the joint consequences of these two phenomena. Thus, this paper studies the link between graduation not within the minimum period and overeducation, and the effects of these variables on wages, using the ISFOL-Plus data. According to the human capital model, delayed graduation increases a student' human capital and should, therefore, reduce her probability of being overeducated, while increasing her wage. According to the screening hypothesis, instead, delayed graduation signals low skills and therefore increases the chances of being overeducated, while bearing a wage penalty. The evidence lines towards predictions based on the screening hypothesis. First, delayed graduation increases the chances of overeducation. In addition, the direct wage penalty associated to delayed graduation equals 7% of the median wage. However, being a determinant of overeducation, it also indirectly contributes to the penalty of 19.8% of the median wage associated to overeducation. These effects are sizeable, considering the very low returns to higher education in Italy reported in previous studies.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 6413

Classification
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions; Probabilities
Single Equation Models: Single Variables: Instrumental Variables (IV) Estimation
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models
Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
Subject
university-to-work transition
delayed graduation
overeducation
human capital theory
screening hypothesis
earnings equations
Italy
Akademiker
Berufseinstieg
Unterbeschäftigung
Bildungsabschluss
Dauer
Signalling
Schätzung
Italien

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Aina, Carmen
Pastore, Francesco
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
(where)
Bonn
(when)
2012

Handle
URN
urn:nbn:de:101:1-201206147274
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Aina, Carmen
  • Pastore, Francesco
  • Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)

Time of origin

  • 2012

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