Bericht

How effective quantitative tightening can be with a higher-for-longer pledge?

We study the effect of quantitative tightening both without forward guidance and with higher for longer guidance. This is done by simulating quantitative tightening strategies in a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model estimated with the euro area data. Quantitative tightening is quantified by a bond supply shock that raises the long-term term premium. Initially, we assume that quantitative tightening comes without forward guidance, meaning that central bank does not communicate any information regarding the future path of the policy rate. Subsequently, we consider quantitative tightening with forward guidance which is communicated through a higher for longer pledge. In addition, this higher for longer pledge is assumed to be fully credible. We find that if credible, quantitative tightening implemented with forward guidance in the form a higher for longer pledge can tighten monetary policy, albeit a little.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: BoF Economics Review ; No. 1/2024

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Monetary Policy
Thema
monetary policy
quantitative tightening
forward guidance

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Kortelainen, Mika
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Bank of Finland
(wo)
Helsinki
(wann)
2024

Handle
URN
urn:nbn:fi-fe202402167577
Letzte Aktualisierung
20.09.2024, 08:21 MESZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Bericht

Beteiligte

  • Kortelainen, Mika
  • Bank of Finland

Entstanden

  • 2024

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