Arbeitspapier

The within-distribution business cycle dynamics of German firms

We analyse stylised facts for Germany's business cycle at the firm level. Based on longitudinal firm-level data from the Bundesbank's balance sheet statistics covering, on average, 55,000 firms per year from 1971 to 1998, we estimate transition probabilities of a firm in a certain real sales growth regime switching to another regime in the next period, e.g. whether a firm that has witnessed a high growth rate is likely to stay in a regime of high growth or is bound to switch in a regime of low growth in the subsequent period. We find that these probabilities depend on the business cycle position.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Discussion Paper Series 1 ; No. 2006,29

Classification
Wirtschaft
Firm Behavior: Theory
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Subject
business cycles
firm growth
Markov chains
Unternehmensentwicklung
Unternehmenswachstum
Konjunktur
Markovscher Prozess
Schätzung
Deutschland

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Weber, Sebastian
Döpke, Jörg
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Deutsche Bundesbank
(where)
Frankfurt a. M.
(when)
2006

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:46 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Weber, Sebastian
  • Döpke, Jörg
  • Deutsche Bundesbank

Time of origin

  • 2006

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