Arbeitspapier

China's Capital Flight: Pre- and Post-Crisis Experiences

We study China’s illicit capital flow and document a change in its pattern. Specifically, we observe that China’s capital flight, especially the one measured by trade misinvoicing, exhibits a weakened response in the post-2007 period to the covered interest disparity, which is a theoretical determinant of capital flight. Further analyses indicate that the post-2007 behavior is influenced by quantitative easing and other factors including exchange rate variability, capital control policy and trade frictions. Our study confirms that China’s capital flight pattern and its determinants are affected by the crisis event. Further, both the canonical and additional explanatory variables have different effects on different measures of capital flight. These results highlight the challenges of managing China’s capital flight, which requires information on the period and the type of capital flight that the policy authorities would like to target.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 5584

Classification
Wirtschaft
International Finance: General
Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
International Financial Markets
Subject
world bank residual method
trade misinvoicing
quantitative easing
capital controls
covered interest disparity

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Cheung, Yin-Wong
Steinkamp, Sven
Westermann, Frank
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2015

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Cheung, Yin-Wong
  • Steinkamp, Sven
  • Westermann, Frank
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2015

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