Arbeitspapier

Tests for deterministic parametric structural change in regression models

The problem of structural change justifiably attracts considerable attention in econometrics. A number of different paradigms have been adopted ranging from structural breaks which are sudden and rare to time-varying coefficient models which exhibit structural change more frequently and continuously. This paper is concerned with parametric econometric models whose coefficients change deterministically and smoothly over time. In particular we provide and discuss tests for the null hypothesis of no structural change versus the alternative hypothesis of smooth deterministic structural change. We provide asymptotic tests for this null hypothesis. However, the finite sample performance of these tests is not good as they overreject significantly. To address this problem we propose and justify bootstrap based tests. These tests perform well in an extensive Monte Carlo study.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Working Paper ; No. 539

Classification
Wirtschaft
Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General
Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
Subject
Structural change, Non-stationarity, Deterministic time-variation
Strukturwandel
Regression
Ökonometrisches Modell

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Kapetanios, George
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Queen Mary University of London, Department of Economics
(where)
London
(when)
2005

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:46 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Kapetanios, George
  • Queen Mary University of London, Department of Economics

Time of origin

  • 2005

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