Arbeitspapier

Fluxos no mercado de trabalho e dinâmica do desemprego em diferentes horizontes temporais

The functioning of the labor market can be represented by worker flows, and the fluctuation of these flows determines the fluctuation of unemployment. The literature measures the importance of a flow such as the proportion of the variance of long-term or stationary unemployment that is explained by the fluctuation of this component. This result is useful for analyzing short-term unemployment when long-term unemployment is a good proxy for short-term unemployment. Our contribution was to propose a decomposition of these kind of proxies using any period (h), which allows to explain the effect of the estimated transition in the period (t) on the unemployment rate in the periods (t + h). This construction puts in the same environment the effect of the short and long term transition on unemployment. It is worth mentioning that the trajectory of the decomposition factors does not always follow a monotonous trend, which makes more important the consideration of the intermediate periods.

Language
Portugiesisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Texto para Discussão ; No. 2345

Classification
Wirtschaft
Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Labor Turnover; Vacancies; Layoffs
Subject
unemployment
flows
decomposition

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Moreira, Ajax Reynaldo Bello
Corseuil, Carlos Henrique
Foguel, Miguel N.
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada (IPEA)
(where)
Brasília
(when)
2017

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Moreira, Ajax Reynaldo Bello
  • Corseuil, Carlos Henrique
  • Foguel, Miguel N.
  • Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada (IPEA)

Time of origin

  • 2017

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