Arbeitspapier
Voting and Popularity
For about 45 years, vote and popularity functions have been estimated for many countries indicating that voting intentions as well as actual votes are influenced by economic development. The economy is, of course, not the only and probably not always the most important factor, but there is no doubt anymore that it is an important factor. The most relevant variables are still unemployment, and/or real growth, and inflation. The estimated coefficients vary considerably between countries and time periods. In papers, retrospective sociotropic voting dominates. However, the evidence is not so univocal; it rather tells that voting has egotropic as well as sociotropic aspects, and it is prospective as well as retrospective. It is still open what roles self-interest and altruism play in voting.
- Sprache
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Englisch
- Erschienen in
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Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 6182
- Klassifikation
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Wirtschaft
Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents: Other
- Thema
-
vote and popularity function
egotropic and sociotropic voting
retrospective and prospective voting
rational voters’ behavior
- Ereignis
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Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Kirchgässner, Gebhard
- Ereignis
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Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
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Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
- (wo)
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Munich
- (wann)
-
2016
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
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10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Kirchgässner, Gebhard
- Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
Entstanden
- 2016