Arbeitspapier
Domestic and Global Uncertainty: A Survey and Some New Results
This survey features three parts. The first one covers the recent literature on domestic (i.e., country-specific) uncertainty and offers ten main takeaways. The second part reviews contributions on the fast-growing strand of the literature focusing on the macroeconomic effects of uncertainty spillovers and global uncertainty. The last part proposes a novel measure of global financial uncertainty and shows that its unexpected variations are associated to statistically and economically fluctuations of the world business cycle.
- Language
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Englisch
- Bibliographic citation
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Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 7900
- Classification
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Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Monetary Policy
Fiscal Policy
- Subject
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uncertainty
uncertainty shocks
spillovers
global financial uncertainty
world business cycle
- Event
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Geistige Schöpfung
- (who)
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Castelnuovo, Efrem
- Event
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Veröffentlichung
- (who)
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Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
- (where)
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Munich
- (when)
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2019
- Handle
- Last update
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10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET
Data provider
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. If you have any questions about the object, please contact the data provider.
Object type
- Arbeitspapier
Associated
- Castelnuovo, Efrem
- Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
Time of origin
- 2019