Arbeitspapier

Household loan loss risk in Finland: estimations and simulations with micro data

This discussion paper presents a microsimulation model of household distress. We use logit analysis to estimate the extent to which a household's risk of being financially distressed depends on net income after tax and loan servicing costs. The impact of assumed macroeconomic shocks on this net income concept is calculated at the household level. The microsimulation model is used to simulate both the number of distressed households and their aggregate debt in various macroeconomic scenarios. The simulations indicate that household credit risks to banks are relatively well contained.

ISBN
978-952-462-355-1
Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers ; No. 5/2007

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Household Saving; Personal Finance
Banks; Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
Money and Interest Rates: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics: Household Analysis: Other
Thema
financial stability
indebtedness
micro simulations
households

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Herrala, Risto
Kauko, Karlo
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Bank of Finland
(wo)
Helsinki
(wann)
2007

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Herrala, Risto
  • Kauko, Karlo
  • Bank of Finland

Entstanden

  • 2007

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