Arbeitspapier
Household loan loss risk in Finland: estimations and simulations with micro data
This discussion paper presents a microsimulation model of household distress. We use logit analysis to estimate the extent to which a household's risk of being financially distressed depends on net income after tax and loan servicing costs. The impact of assumed macroeconomic shocks on this net income concept is calculated at the household level. The microsimulation model is used to simulate both the number of distressed households and their aggregate debt in various macroeconomic scenarios. The simulations indicate that household credit risks to banks are relatively well contained.
- ISBN
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978-952-462-355-1
- Sprache
-
Englisch
- Erschienen in
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Series: Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers ; No. 5/2007
- Klassifikation
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Wirtschaft
Household Saving; Personal Finance
Banks; Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
Money and Interest Rates: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics: Household Analysis: Other
- Thema
-
financial stability
indebtedness
micro simulations
households
- Ereignis
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Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
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Herrala, Risto
Kauko, Karlo
- Ereignis
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Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
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Bank of Finland
- (wo)
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Helsinki
- (wann)
-
2007
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Herrala, Risto
- Kauko, Karlo
- Bank of Finland
Entstanden
- 2007