Arbeitspapier
Regime switches in the risk-return trade-off
This paper deals with the estimation of the risk-return trade-off. We use a MIDAS model for the conditional variance and allow for possible switches in the risk-return relation through a Markov-switching specification. We find strong evidence for regime changes in the risk-return relation. This finding is robust to a large range of specifications. In the first regime characterized by low ex-post returns and high volatility, the risk-return relation is reversed, whereas the intuitive positive risk-return trade-off holds in the second regime. The first regime is interpreted as a flight-to-quality regime.
- Sprache
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Englisch
- Erschienen in
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Series: Bank of Canada Working Paper ; No. 2013-51
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data)
Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
- Thema
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Economic and statistical models
Financial markets
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Ghysels, Eric
Guérin, Pierre
Marcellino, Massimiliano
- Ereignis
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Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
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Bank of Canada
- (wo)
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Ottawa
- (wann)
-
2013
- DOI
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doi:10.34989/swp-2013-51
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
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10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Ghysels, Eric
- Guérin, Pierre
- Marcellino, Massimiliano
- Bank of Canada
Entstanden
- 2013