Artikel

Test of an inverted J-shape hypothesis between the expected real exchange rate and real output: The case of Ireland

Applying an open-economy macroeconomic model, incorporating the monetary policy reaction function and uncovering interest parity, this paper finds that the expected real exchange rate and real output exhibit an inverted J-shape relationship, suggesting that expected real depreciation increases real output during 1999.Q2-2001.Q3 whereas expected real appreciation raises output during 2001.Q4-2009.Q1. Other findings show that a higher real financial stock price, a higher world real interest rate, or a lower expected inflation rate would increase real output. Fiscal prudence may be needed as the coefficient of the government borrowing/GDP ratio is insignificant at the 10% level.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Journal: International Journal of Economic Sciences and Applied Research ; ISSN: 1791-3373 ; Volume: 3 ; Year: 2010 ; Issue: 1 ; Pages: 39-47 ; Kavala: Kavala Institute of Technology

Classification
Wirtschaft
Monetary Policy
Foreign Exchange
Open Economy Macroeconomics
Economywide Country Studies: Europe
Subject
expected real depreciation or appreciation
monetary policy reaction function
fiscal policy
financial stock price
uncovered interest parity

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Hsing, Yu
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Kavala Institute of Technology
(where)
Kavala
(when)
2010

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Artikel

Associated

  • Hsing, Yu
  • Kavala Institute of Technology

Time of origin

  • 2010

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