Arbeitspapier

Time Preferences over the Life Cycle and Household Saving Puzzles

Most economic models assume that time preferences are stable over time, but the evidence on their long-term stability is lacking. We study whether and how time preferences change over the life cycle, exploiting representative long-term panel data. We provide new evidence that discount rates decrease with age and the decline is remarkably linear over the life cycle. Decreasing discounting helps a canonical life-cycle model to explain the household saving puzzles of undersaving when young and oversaving after retirement. Relative to the model with constant discounting, the model’s fit to consumption and asset data profiles improves by 40% and 30%, respectively.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 8935

Classification
Wirtschaft
Intertemporal Household Choice; Life Cycle Models and Saving
Micro-Based Behavioral Economics: Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making‡
Macroeconomics: Consumption; Saving; Wealth
Demographic Economics: General
Subject
time preferences
preference stability
discount rates
household saving puzzles

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Kureishi, Wataru
Paule-Paludkiewicz, Hannah
Tsujiyama, Hitoshi
Wakabayashi, Midori
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2021

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Kureishi, Wataru
  • Paule-Paludkiewicz, Hannah
  • Tsujiyama, Hitoshi
  • Wakabayashi, Midori
  • Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2021

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