Arbeitspapier

The impact of a higher leverage ratio on the South African economy

We employ a micro-founded and stock-and-flow-consistent model to study the impact of a higher leverage ratio on the South African economy. The model provides a rich representation of institutional balance sheets. The relationship between bank capital, risk-taking behaviour, lending spreads, and economic activity is highlighted. The financial accelerator mechanism operates through the balance sheets of all economic institutions. The introduction of a higher leverage ratio is likely to generate negative economic impacts in the short run. The negative gross domestic product effect is greatest if the financial sector reduces leverage by reducing the value of assets. The regulatory shock leads the sector to change its perception of risk, reducing the size of the money multiplier and increasing lending spreads. Higher regulatory requirements also affect the transmission of monetary policy. Effective monetary policy requires understanding how the financial sector is likely to meet new requirements and change its perceptions of risk.

ISBN
978-92-9256-669-2
Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: WIDER Working Paper ; No. 2019/35

Classification
Wirtschaft
General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium: Financial Markets
Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models
Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
Money and Interest Rates: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation
Subject
computable general equilibrium
financial dynamics
leverage ratio
macroprudential
stock-and-flow consistent
South Africa

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Davies, Robert H.
Harris, Laurence
Makrelov, Konstantin
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
The United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics Research (UNU-WIDER)
(where)
Helsinki
(when)
2019

DOI
doi:10.35188/UNU-WIDER/2019/669-2
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Davies, Robert H.
  • Harris, Laurence
  • Makrelov, Konstantin
  • The United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics Research (UNU-WIDER)

Time of origin

  • 2019

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