Arbeitspapier

Financial development and sectoral output growth in 19th century Germany

In this paper we re-evaluate the hypothesis that the development of the financial sector was an essential factor behind economic growth in 19th century Germany. We apply a structural VAR framework to a new annual data set from 1870 to 1912 that was initially recorded by Walther Hoffmann (1965). With respect to the literature, the distinguishing characteristic of our analysis is the focus on different sectors in the economy and the interpretation of the findings in the context of a two-sector growth model. We find that all sectors were affected significantly by shocks from the banking system. Interestingly, this link is the strongest in sectors with small, non-tradable goods producing firms, such as services, transportation and agriculture. In this regard, the growth patterns in 19th century Germany are reminiscent to those in today's emerging markets.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 3283

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
Economic History: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations: Europe: Pre-1913
Economic History: Financial Markets and Institutions: Europe: Pre-1913
Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
Thema
economic growth
financial development
sectoral asymmetries
Kreditgeschäft
Wirtschaftswachstum
Branchenentwicklung
VAR-Modell
Deutschland (bis 1945)

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Diekmann, Katharina
Westermann, Frank
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(wo)
Munich
(wann)
2010

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Diekmann, Katharina
  • Westermann, Frank
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Entstanden

  • 2010

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