Arbeitspapier

Sectoral Trends and Cycles in Germany

We examine the comovements between the output indexes of three German sectors (manufacturing, mining, and agriculture) and the three corresponding sectoral stock market indexes. It is found that data with and without seasonal adjustment give mixed results on the long-run interaction between the sectoral indexes. Compared with data that are non-seasonally adjusted, the adjusted data offer a weaker evidence on the cointegration relationship between a) the sectoral output indexes, b) sectoral stock indexes, and c) individual pairs of real and financial indexes. On short-run comovement, seasonally adjusted data offer stronger evidence on the presence of common synchronized and non-synchronized cyclical components.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 502

Classification
Wirtschaft

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Cheung, Yin-Wong
Westermann, Frank
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2001

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:45 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Cheung, Yin-Wong
  • Westermann, Frank
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2001

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