Arbeitspapier

Noise and bias in eliciting preferences

In the context of eliciting preferences for decision making under risk, we ask the question: “which might be the ‘best’ method for eliciting such preferences?”. It is well known that different methods differ in terms of the bias in the elicitation; it is rather less well-known that different methods differ in terms of their noisiness. The optimal trade-off depends upon the relative magnitudes of these two effects. We examine four different elicitation mechanisms (pairwise choice, willingness-to-pay, willingness-to-accept, and certainty equivalents) and estimate both effects. Our results suggest that economists might be better advised to use what appears to be a relatively inefficient elicitation technique (i.e. pairwise choice) in order to avoid the bias in better-known and more widely-used techniques.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Discussion papers in economics ; No. 2007,04

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Thema
Entscheidung bei Risiko
Experiment
Modell-Spezifikation
Statistischer Fehler
Präferenztheorie

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Hey, John Denis
Morone, Andrea
Schmidt, Ulrich
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
University of York, Department of Economics and Related Studies
(wo)
York
(wann)
2007

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:41 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Hey, John Denis
  • Morone, Andrea
  • Schmidt, Ulrich
  • University of York, Department of Economics and Related Studies

Entstanden

  • 2007

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