Unexpected volatiltiy and intraday serial correlation

Abstract: We study the impact of volatility on intraday serial correlation, at time scales of less than 20 minutes, exploiting a data set with all transaction on SPX500 futures from 1993 to 2001. We show that, while realized volatility and intraday serial correlation are linked, this relation is driven by unexpected volatility only, that is by the fraction of volatility which cannot be forecasted. The impact of predictable volatility is instead found to be negative (LeBaron effect). Our results are robust to microstructure noise, and they confirm the leading economic theories on price formation

Location
Deutsche Nationalbibliothek Frankfurt am Main
Extent
Online-Ressource
Language
Englisch
Notes
Postprint
begutachtet (peer reviewed)
In: Quantitative Finance ; 9 (2009) 4 ; 465-475

Classification
Wirtschaft

Event
Veröffentlichung
(where)
Mannheim
(when)
2009
Creator
Renò, Roberto
Bianco, Simone

DOI
10.1080/14697680802452050
URN
urn:nbn:de:0168-ssoar-221315
Rights
Open Access unbekannt; Open Access; Der Zugriff auf das Objekt ist unbeschränkt möglich.
Last update
25.03.2025, 1:49 PM CET

Data provider

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Associated

  • Renò, Roberto
  • Bianco, Simone

Time of origin

  • 2009

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